Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Queensland Premier League
Australia · Regular Season - 4
Logan LightningHOME · -
1 : 22024.03.16 · 종료
St George WillawongAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME5.4%
DRAW11.0%
AWAY83.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
20/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+83.6%
VALUE EDGE+83.6%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
68/100 · HIGH RISK
REST
EVEN
-0.1%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Logan LightningAnalysis MetricsSt George Willawong
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
1.92
Average goals scoredHigher is better
0.75
1.67
Average goals concededLower is better
2.83
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
20/100
LOW
Data coverage4.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample0.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Lightning
L · 1-2L · 2-1W · 3-0
St George Willawong
W · 0-2W · 2-4W · 0-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.09 | Logan Lightning | 4 : 1 | St George Willawong |
| 2026.05.10 | St George Willawong | 0 : 2 | Logan Lightning |
| 2024.08.31 | St George Willawong | 2 : 1 | Logan Lightning |
| 2024.06.16 | St George Willawong | 3 : 1 | Logan Lightning |
| 2024.03.16 | Logan Lightning | 1 : 2 | St George Willawong |