Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korisliiga W
Finland · Korisliiga Women - Semi-finals
PeKa WHOME · -
91 : 832024.04.04 · 종료
Forssan Alku WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.8%
VALUE EDGE+63.8%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADES
PeKa WAnalysis MetricsForssan Alku W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-0.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-18.00
147.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.83
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
PeKa W
W · 58-90W · 78-63L · 71-60W · 70-61W · 66-57
Forssan Alku W
W · 80-104W · 78-49L · 88-82L · 69-73W · 71-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.12.01 | PeKa W | 108 : 45 | Forssan Alku W |
| 2024.10.05 | Forssan Alku W | 53 : 102 | PeKa W |
| 2024.04.13 | Forssan Alku W | 81 : 94 | PeKa W |
| 2024.04.10 | PeKa W | 91 : 66 | Forssan Alku W |
| 2024.04.06 | Forssan Alku W | 78 : 77 | PeKa W |
| 2024.04.04 | PeKa W | 91 : 83 | Forssan Alku W |
| 2024.03.03 | Forssan Alku W | 84 : 86 | PeKa W |
| 2023.12.21 | PeKa W | 82 : 64 | Forssan Alku W |
| 2023.10.07 | Forssan Alku W | 66 : 100 | PeKa W |
| 2017.03.26 | PeKa W | 88 : 58 | Forssan Alku W |