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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korisliiga W Finland
Forssan Alku WHOME · -
84 : 862024.03.03 · 종료
PeKa WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADES
Forssan Alku WAnalysis MetricsPeKa W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-18.00 Point MarginHigher is better -0.25
156.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.25
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
28.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Forssan Alku W
W · 69-72W · 84-74W · 90-67L · 83-61L · 86-72
PeKa W
W · 103-70L · 72-81L · 72-95L · 91-80L · 67-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.12.01PeKa W108 : 45Forssan Alku W
2024.10.05Forssan Alku W53 : 102PeKa W
2024.04.13Forssan Alku W81 : 94PeKa W
2024.04.10PeKa W91 : 66Forssan Alku W
2024.04.06Forssan Alku W78 : 77PeKa W
2024.04.04PeKa W91 : 83Forssan Alku W
2024.03.03Forssan Alku W84 : 86PeKa W
2023.12.21PeKa W82 : 64Forssan Alku W
2023.10.07Forssan Alku W66 : 100PeKa W
2017.03.26PeKa W88 : 58Forssan Alku W