Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korisliiga W
Finland
Espoo Team WHOME · -
78 : 922023.12.10 · 종료
PeKa WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Espoo Team WAnalysis MetricsPeKa W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.25
156.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.25
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Espoo Team W
L · 87-81L · 65-74L · 72-65W · 63-68L · 60-88
PeKa W
W · 89-61W · 57-96L · 81-65W · 89-96L · 65-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.05 | Espoo Team W | 78 : 76 | PeKa W |
| 2025.04.12 | PeKa W | 96 : 70 | Espoo Team W |
| 2025.04.09 | Espoo Team W | 62 : 79 | PeKa W |
| 2025.04.05 | PeKa W | 81 : 77 | Espoo Team W |
| 2025.01.16 | Espoo Team W | 74 : 53 | PeKa W |
| 2024.11.03 | PeKa W | 87 : 59 | Espoo Team W |
| 2024.02.18 | PeKa W | 72 : 81 | Espoo Team W |
| 2023.12.10 | Espoo Team W | 78 : 92 | PeKa W |
| 2023.10.21 | PeKa W | 89 : 70 | Espoo Team W |
| 2017.02.04 | PeKa W | 74 : 51 | Espoo Team W |