Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korisliiga W
Finland
Forssan Alku WHOME · -
97 : 782023.11.23 · 종료
HBA-Marsky Helsinki WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.2%
VALUE EDGE+53.2%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Forssan Alku WAnalysis MetricsHBA-Marsky Helsinki W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-18.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.08
156.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.42
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Forssan Alku W
W · 93-72L · 71-89W · 88-92L · 82-51L · 92-51
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
W · 77-64L · 99-82W · 73-68L · 84-64L · 69-100
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.09 | Forssan Alku W | 77 : 86 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W |
| 2025.02.01 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 100 : 83 | Forssan Alku W |
| 2025.01.18 | Forssan Alku W | 87 : 99 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W |
| 2024.11.21 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 106 : 74 | Forssan Alku W |
| 2024.03.16 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 61 : 65 | Forssan Alku W |
| 2024.02.11 | Forssan Alku W | 90 : 67 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W |
| 2023.11.23 | Forssan Alku W | 97 : 78 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W |