Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Korisliiga W Finland

HBA-Marsky Helsinki WHOME · -

77 : 642023.11.18 · 종료

Kouvottaret WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.0%

VALUE EDGE+55.0%

FAIR ODDS1.82

GRADEA

HBA-Marsky Helsinki WAnalysis MetricsKouvottaret W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-3.08 Point MarginHigher is better +1.42

152.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.42

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

13.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.1 / 15

Prediction separation4.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

HBA-Marsky Helsinki W

L · 99-82W · 73-68L · 84-64L · 69-100W · 75-56

Kouvottaret W

W · 71-89L · 78-89L · 98-91W · 85-82L · 84-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.12.12	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W	57 : 78	Kouvottaret W
2024.10.17	Kouvottaret W	75 : 57	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
2024.01.25	Kouvottaret W	74 : 49	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
2023.11.18	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W	77 : 64	Kouvottaret W
2023.10.07	Kouvottaret W	65 : 76	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W