Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korisliiga W
Finland
HBA-Marsky Helsinki WHOME · -
75 : 562023.10.12 · 종료
Espoo Team WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.6%
VALUE EDGE+52.6%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
HBA-Marsky Helsinki WAnalysis MetricsEspoo Team W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.75
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.58
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
W · 65-76
Espoo Team W
L · 66-67L · 79-83W · 55-77L · 60-80W · 60-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.08 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 97 : 70 | Espoo Team W |
| 2025.03.23 | Espoo Team W | 74 : 47 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W |
| 2025.02.22 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 84 : 94 | Espoo Team W |
| 2024.12.21 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 78 : 63 | Espoo Team W |
| 2024.10.27 | Espoo Team W | 91 : 71 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W |
| 2024.03.02 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 87 : 78 | Espoo Team W |
| 2023.12.21 | Espoo Team W | 90 : 65 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W |
| 2023.10.12 | HBA-Marsky Helsinki W | 75 : 56 | Espoo Team W |