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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korisliiga W Finland
Forssan Alku WHOME · -
66 : 1002023.10.07 · 종료
PeKa WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
Forssan Alku WAnalysis MetricsPeKa W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-18.00 Point MarginHigher is better -0.25
156.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.25
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Forssan Alku W
L · 86-57L · 90-69L · 88-58L · 62-71L · 89-54
PeKa W
L · 59-90L · 76-51W · 91-61L · 77-46L · 75-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.12.01PeKa W108 : 45Forssan Alku W
2024.10.05Forssan Alku W53 : 102PeKa W
2024.04.13Forssan Alku W81 : 94PeKa W
2024.04.10PeKa W91 : 66Forssan Alku W
2024.04.06Forssan Alku W78 : 77PeKa W
2024.04.04PeKa W91 : 83Forssan Alku W
2024.03.03Forssan Alku W84 : 86PeKa W
2023.12.21PeKa W82 : 64Forssan Alku W
2023.10.07Forssan Alku W66 : 100PeKa W
2017.03.26PeKa W88 : 58Forssan Alku W