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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korisliiga W Finland
Tapiolan Honka WHOME · -
86 : 572023.10.05 · 종료
Forssan Alku WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.3%
VALUE EDGE+80.3%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
Tapiolan Honka WAnalysis MetricsForssan Alku W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-17.08 Point MarginHigher is better -18.00
148.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.83
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tapiolan Honka W
L · 95-79
Forssan Alku W
L · 90-69L · 88-58L · 62-71L · 89-54L · 55-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.01.23Forssan Alku W74 : 93Tapiolan Honka W
2024.11.23Tapiolan Honka W99 : 66Forssan Alku W
2024.01.25Tapiolan Honka W86 : 72Forssan Alku W
2023.11.19Forssan Alku W93 : 72Tapiolan Honka W
2023.10.05Tapiolan Honka W86 : 57Forssan Alku W