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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

I Divisioona Women Finland
Kataja WHOME · -
55 : 512022.12.18 · 종료
Lahti Basketball WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +59.0%
VALUE EDGE+59.0%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
Kataja WAnalysis MetricsLahti Basketball W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-33.00 Point MarginHigher is better +10.67
134.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%
7.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
59.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kataja W
L · 70-53L · 48-64W · 67-70L · 51-85W · 40-58
Lahti Basketball W
L · 69-71W · 55-67L · 61-72L · 89-47W · 69-52

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.18Kataja W55 : 51Lahti Basketball W