Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
I Divisioona A
Finland · I Divisioona A - Semi-finals
HonkaHOME · -
84 : 652024.04.12 · 종료
KipinaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.6%
VALUE EDGE+82.6%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEB
HonkaAnalysis MetricsKipina
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.58
194.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Honka
W · 96-82W · 54-99W · 89-63W · 90-73W · 56-92
Kipina
L · 96-82W · 73-93W · 88-73W · 108-99W · 82-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Honka | 94 : 96 | Kipina |
| 2026.10.22 | Kipina | 109 : 100 | Honka |
| 2024.04.12 | Honka | 84 : 65 | Kipina |
| 2024.04.06 | Honka | 96 : 82 | Kipina |
| 2024.01.20 | Honka | 85 : 78 | Kipina |
| 2023.10.22 | Kipina | 74 : 80 | Honka |