Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
I Divisioona A
Finland · I Divisioona A - Semi-finals
ToPo HelsinkiHOME · -
73 : 802024.04.09 · 종료
JyvaskylaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.9%
VALUE EDGE+56.9%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
ToPo HelsinkiAnalysis MetricsJyvaskyla
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.42
162.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.92
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation5.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ToPo Helsinki
L · 100-93W · 89-103W · 102-98L · 90-73W · 102-67
Jyvaskyla
W · 100-93W · 80-86W · 100-77W · 91-73L · 82-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.29 | Jyvaskyla | 91 : 79 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2024.11.17 | ToPo Helsinki | 99 : 76 | Jyvaskyla |
| 2024.04.12 | Jyvaskyla | 87 : 75 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2024.04.09 | ToPo Helsinki | 73 : 80 | Jyvaskyla |
| 2024.04.06 | Jyvaskyla | 100 : 93 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2024.01.27 | Jyvaskyla | 100 : 94 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2023.10.28 | ToPo Helsinki | 83 : 92 | Jyvaskyla |
| 2022.12.03 | Jyvaskyla | 95 : 85 | ToPo Helsinki |