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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

I Divisioona A Finland
Helsingin NMKYHOME · -
57 : 852024.03.09 · 종료
JyvaskylaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +78.3%
VALUE EDGE+78.3%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
Helsingin NMKYAnalysis MetricsJyvaskyla
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-6.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42
164.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.92
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
21.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
78.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Helsingin NMKY
W · 88-74L · 87-58W · 73-66L · 69-86W · 84-83
Jyvaskyla
W · 85-92W · 94-68W · 60-73W · 81-74W · 74-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.01.23Jyvaskyla102 : 78Helsingin NMKY
2024.11.03Helsingin NMKY73 : 86Jyvaskyla
2024.03.09Helsingin NMKY57 : 85Jyvaskyla
2023.12.02Jyvaskyla96 : 77Helsingin NMKY
2023.01.29Helsingin NMKY88 : 105Jyvaskyla
2022.10.29Jyvaskyla113 : 59Helsingin NMKY