Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

I Divisioona A Finland

OuluHOME · -

97 : 1002023.11.19 · 종료

HBA-Marsky HelsinkiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY52.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +52.8%

VALUE EDGE+52.8%

FAIR ODDS1.89

GRADEA

OuluAnalysis MetricsHBA-Marsky Helsinki

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42

167.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.58

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation2.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

47.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

52.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Oulu

L · 105-57L · 82-89W · 63-95W · 70-84L · 78-90

HBA-Marsky Helsinki

W · 79-98L · 84-99W · 93-87L · 94-70L · 91-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.12.12	Oulu	78 : 99	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2024.10.11	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	97 : 88	Oulu
2024.02.17	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	66 : 68	Oulu
2023.11.19	Oulu	97 : 100	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2023.03.20	Oulu	76 : 90	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2022.12.17	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	106 : 83	Oulu