Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
I Divisioona A
Finland
HonkaHOME · -
105 : 572023.11.12 · 종료
OuluAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.0%
VALUE EDGE+73.0%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
HonkaAnalysis MetricsOulu
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
194.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Honka
W · 58-89W · 80-69W · 74-80W · 94-70W · 73-98
Oulu
L · 82-89W · 63-95W · 70-84L · 78-90L · 76-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.11 | Oulu | 72 : 89 | Honka |
| 2023.11.12 | Honka | 105 : 57 | Oulu |