Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
I Divisioona A
Finland
ToPo HelsinkiHOME · -
83 : 922023.10.28 · 종료
JyvaskylaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.7%
VALUE EDGE+57.7%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
ToPo HelsinkiAnalysis MetricsJyvaskyla
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.42
162.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.92
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ToPo Helsinki
W · 81-92L · 85-96W · 91-100L · 96-69L · 66-99
Jyvaskyla
W · 84-99W · 111-61W · 88-76L · 76-77L · 73-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.29 | Jyvaskyla | 91 : 79 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2024.11.17 | ToPo Helsinki | 99 : 76 | Jyvaskyla |
| 2024.04.12 | Jyvaskyla | 87 : 75 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2024.04.09 | ToPo Helsinki | 73 : 80 | Jyvaskyla |
| 2024.04.06 | Jyvaskyla | 100 : 93 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2024.01.27 | Jyvaskyla | 100 : 94 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2023.10.28 | ToPo Helsinki | 83 : 92 | Jyvaskyla |
| 2022.12.03 | Jyvaskyla | 95 : 85 | ToPo Helsinki |