Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

I Divisioona A Finland

HBA-Marsky HelsinkiHOME · -

93 : 872023.10.21 · 종료

Helsingin NMKYAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +70.1%

VALUE EDGE+70.1%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEA

HBA-Marsky HelsinkiAnalysis MetricsHelsingin NMKY

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+3.42 Point MarginHigher is better -6.58

167.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.25

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

70.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

HBA-Marsky Helsinki

L · 94-70L · 91-100L · 83-85L · 79-70W · 76-90

Helsingin NMKY

L · 91-81L · 73-98L · 72-92L · 104-71L · 74-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.02	Helsingin NMKY	79 : 85	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2024.11.09	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	90 : 68	Helsingin NMKY
2024.01.20	Helsingin NMKY	85 : 99	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2023.10.21	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	93 : 87	Helsingin NMKY
2023.02.13	Helsingin NMKY	75 : 68	HBA-Marsky Helsinki