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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

I Divisioona A Finland · I Divisioona A - Quarter-finals
Helsingin NMKYHOME · -
72 : 922023.03.26 · 종료
KipinaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +77.7%
VALUE EDGE+77.7%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADES
Helsingin NMKYAnalysis MetricsKipina
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-6.58 Point MarginHigher is better +5.58
164.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.92
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
22.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
77.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Helsingin NMKY
L · 104-71L · 74-100L · 97-91L · 77-64L · 87-97
Kipina
W · 104-71W · 101-113W · 106-91W · 87-112W · 87-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.01.13Kipina86 : 99Helsingin NMKY
2024.10.20Helsingin NMKY88 : 112Kipina
2024.02.04Helsingin NMKY69 : 86Kipina
2023.10.30Kipina97 : 94Helsingin NMKY
2023.03.26Helsingin NMKY72 : 92Kipina
2023.03.23Kipina104 : 71Helsingin NMKY
2023.02.27Helsingin NMKY87 : 97Kipina
2022.11.28Kipina87 : 88Helsingin NMKY