Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
I Divisioona A
Finland · I Divisioona A - Quarter-finals
KipinaHOME · -
104 : 712023.03.23 · 종료
Helsingin NMKYAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.6%
VALUE EDGE+68.6%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADES
KipinaAnalysis MetricsHelsingin NMKY
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.58
182.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.25
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kipina
W · 101-113W · 106-91W · 87-112W · 87-97W · 88-75
Helsingin NMKY
L · 74-100L · 97-91L · 77-64L · 87-97W · 79-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.13 | Kipina | 86 : 99 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2024.10.20 | Helsingin NMKY | 88 : 112 | Kipina |
| 2024.02.04 | Helsingin NMKY | 69 : 86 | Kipina |
| 2023.10.30 | Kipina | 97 : 94 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2023.03.26 | Helsingin NMKY | 72 : 92 | Kipina |
| 2023.03.23 | Kipina | 104 : 71 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2023.02.27 | Helsingin NMKY | 87 : 97 | Kipina |
| 2022.11.28 | Kipina | 87 : 88 | Helsingin NMKY |