Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
I Divisioona A
Finland
OuluHOME · -
81 : 732023.02.05 · 종료
Helsingin NMKYAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
OuluAnalysis MetricsHelsingin NMKY
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.58
167.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.25
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Oulu
W · 81-71L · 89-87W · 68-88L · 95-84L · 106-83
Helsingin NMKY
L · 88-105L · 88-68L · 70-81W · 70-80W · 93-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.09 | Oulu | 73 : 83 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2024.11.17 | Helsingin NMKY | 81 : 83 | Oulu |
| 2024.03.25 | Helsingin NMKY | 81 : 68 | Oulu |
| 2023.12.17 | Oulu | 90 : 82 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2023.02.05 | Oulu | 81 : 73 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2022.11.06 | Helsingin NMKY | 100 : 81 | Oulu |