Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
I Divisioona A
Finland
ToPo HelsinkiHOME · -
88 : 682023.01.21 · 종료
Helsingin NMKYAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.6%
VALUE EDGE+69.6%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
ToPo HelsinkiAnalysis MetricsHelsingin NMKY
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.58
162.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.25
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ToPo Helsinki
W · 106-72W · 65-87W · 102-103L · 83-85L · 95-85
Helsingin NMKY
L · 70-81W · 70-80W · 93-102W · 90-61L · 79-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.18 | Helsingin NMKY | 76 : 96 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2025.01.05 | Helsingin NMKY | 60 : 85 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2024.10.13 | ToPo Helsinki | 86 : 72 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2024.03.16 | ToPo Helsinki | 102 : 67 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2023.12.10 | Helsingin NMKY | 93 : 94 | ToPo Helsinki |
| 2023.01.21 | ToPo Helsinki | 88 : 68 | Helsingin NMKY |
| 2022.10.23 | Helsingin NMKY | 66 : 91 | ToPo Helsinki |