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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

I Divisioona A Finland
Kouvot Kouvola 2HOME · -
68 : 882023.01.16 · 종료
OuluAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.2%
VALUE EDGE+56.2%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Kouvot Kouvola 2Analysis MetricsOulu
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-19.58 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
168.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.42
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kouvot Kouvola 2
L · 65-87L · 78-88L · 90-61L · 105-92W · 85-77
Oulu
L · 95-84L · 106-83W · 74-64L · 79-75W · 77-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.16Kouvot Kouvola 268 : 88Oulu
2022.10.16Oulu76 : 101Kouvot Kouvola 2