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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

I Divisioona A Finland
Kouvot Kouvola 2HOME · -
78 : 882022.12.19 · 종료
Kristika TurkuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.2%
VALUE EDGE+68.2%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Kouvot Kouvola 2Analysis MetricsKristika Turku
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-20.42 Point MarginHigher is better -21.75
167.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.42
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kouvot Kouvola 2
L · 90-61L · 105-92W · 85-77L · 90-65L · 63-86
Kristika Turku
L · 85-100L · 124-95L · 90-79L · 60-76L · 104-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.19Kristika Turku93 : 97Kouvot Kouvola 2
2022.12.19Kouvot Kouvola 278 : 88Kristika Turku