Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

I Divisioona A Finland

HBA-Marsky HelsinkiHOME · -

106 : 832022.12.17 · 종료

OuluAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.6%

VALUE EDGE+68.6%

FAIR ODDS1.46

GRADEA

HBA-Marsky HelsinkiAnalysis MetricsOulu

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+3.42 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

167.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.42

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

HBA-Marsky Helsinki

W · 83-85W · 90-79L · 85-77L · 94-104L · 63-77

Oulu

W · 74-64L · 79-75W · 77-71L · 81-75L · 67-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.12.12	Oulu	78 : 99	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2024.10.11	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	97 : 88	Oulu
2024.02.17	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	66 : 68	Oulu
2023.11.19	Oulu	97 : 100	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2023.03.20	Oulu	76 : 90	HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2022.12.17	HBA-Marsky Helsinki	106 : 83	Oulu