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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

I Divisioona A Finland
ToPo HelsinkiHOME · -
83 : 852022.12.10 · 종료
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.8%
VALUE EDGE+59.8%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
ToPo HelsinkiAnalysis MetricsHBA-Marsky Helsinki
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.50 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42
162.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.58
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ToPo Helsinki
L · 95-85L · 86-88W · 73-90L · 89-101L · 72-69
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
W · 90-79L · 85-77L · 94-104L · 63-77L · 70-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.10ToPo Helsinki74 : 82HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2025.03.13ToPo Helsinki85 : 80HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2024.11.23HBA-Marsky Helsinki93 : 86ToPo Helsinki
2024.01.10ToPo Helsinki100 : 94HBA-Marsky Helsinki
2023.10.07HBA-Marsky Helsinki91 : 100ToPo Helsinki
2023.03.11HBA-Marsky Helsinki79 : 83ToPo Helsinki
2022.12.10ToPo Helsinki83 : 85HBA-Marsky Helsinki