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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Copa de la Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P.HOME · -
1 : 12024.05.01 · 종료
Boca JuniorsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.0%
DRAW18.7%
AWAY4.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 66/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.0%
VALUE EDGE+77.0%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 94/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +33.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +33.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +12.3%p
REST HOME +4.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Estudiantes L.P.Analysis MetricsBoca Juniors
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.17 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.83
1.42 Average goals concededLower is better 0.75
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
10.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage13.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.0%
DRAW
18.7%
AWAY
4.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Estudiantes L.P.
W · 3-0W · 1-2W · 1-0W · 5-0L · 1-0
Boca Juniors
W · 2-3W · 1-0L · 1-0W · 1-3W · 2-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.06Boca Juniors1 : 0Estudiantes L.P.
2026.01.29Estudiantes L.P.2 : 1Boca Juniors
2025.11.03Estudiantes L.P.1 : 2Boca Juniors
2025.04.20Boca Juniors2 : 0Estudiantes L.P.
2024.08.27Estudiantes L.P.1 : 1Boca Juniors
2024.05.01Estudiantes L.P.1 : 1Boca Juniors
2024.04.13Estudiantes L.P.1 : 0Boca Juniors