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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Copa de la Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - Semi-finals
Argentinos JRSHOME · -
0 : 02024.04.29 · 종료
Velez SarsfieldAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.6%
DRAW13.1%
AWAY8.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 66/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.6%
VALUE EDGE+78.6%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 92/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +12.3%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +18.1%p
REST EVEN +1.2%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Argentinos JRSAnalysis MetricsVelez Sarsfield
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.92 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.50
0.92 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage13.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.6%
DRAW
13.1%
AWAY
8.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Argentinos JRS
D · 1-1D · 3-3D · 0-0W · 1-2W · 3-0
Velez Sarsfield
W · 1-2W · 0-1D · 0-0L · 1-0W · 1-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.11.23Velez Sarsfield0 : 2Argentinos JRS
2024.11.02Argentinos JRS1 : 1Velez Sarsfield
2024.04.29Argentinos JRS0 : 0Velez Sarsfield
2024.04.07Velez Sarsfield0 : 0Argentinos JRS