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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Copa de la Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 11
San LorenzoHOME · -
1 : 02024.03.17 · 종료
Sarmiento JuninAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.7%
DRAW33.4%
AWAY14.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK HOME 40.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 67/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +10.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +7.4%p
REST EVEN -0.9%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsSarmiento Junin
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.67 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.25
1.00 Average goals concededLower is better 1.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.7%
DRAW
33.4%
AWAY
14.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Lorenzo
D · 0-0D · 2-2D · 0-0W · 2-0D · 1-1
Sarmiento Junin
W · 3-1W · 0-1L · 1-2D · 0-0L · 4-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.11.16San Lorenzo1 : 1Sarmiento Junin
2025.05.04Sarmiento Junin1 : 1San Lorenzo
2024.06.04San Lorenzo0 : 1Sarmiento Junin
2024.03.17San Lorenzo1 : 0Sarmiento Junin