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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Copa de la Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 10
Defensa Y JusticiaHOME · -
2 : 12024.03.11 · 종료
Union Santa FeAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME6.0%
DRAW26.5%
AWAY67.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 84/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -30.0%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -25.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -11.7%p
REST AWAY -5.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Defensa Y JusticiaAnalysis MetricsUnion Santa Fe
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
1.33 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.58
0.75 Average goals concededLower is better 1.42
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement4.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
6.0%
DRAW
26.5%
AWAY
67.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Defensa Y Justicia
D · 1-1L · 0-4D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 0-1
Union Santa Fe
W · 1-0W · 1-2W · 4-1D · 0-0D · 0-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.10Union Santa Fe0 : 2Defensa Y Justicia
2026.03.22Defensa Y Justicia2 : 0Union Santa Fe
2025.10.22Union Santa Fe3 : 0Defensa Y Justicia
2025.04.15Defensa Y Justicia0 : 0Union Santa Fe
2024.12.16Defensa Y Justicia0 : 0Union Santa Fe
2024.03.11Defensa Y Justicia2 : 1Union Santa Fe