Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Copa de la Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 10

IndependienteHOME · -

1 : 12024.03.10 · 종료

River PlateAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME6.9%

DRAW24.3%

AWAY68.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +68.7%

VALUE EDGE+68.7%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 85/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -9.2%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -16.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -23.3%p

REST HOME +5.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

IndependienteAnalysis MetricsRiver Plate

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

1.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.67

1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 0.92

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage12.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample4.5 / 10

Model agreement10.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

6.9%

DRAW

24.3%

AWAY

68.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Independiente

D · 2-2W · 2-1L · 0-1W · 0-2W · 1-0

River Plate

W · 2-0D · 2-2D · 1-1D · 1-1D · 0-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.08.10	Independiente	0 : 0	River Plate
2025.02.09	River Plate	2 : 0	Independiente
2024.09.02	Independiente	0 : 0	River Plate
2024.03.10	Independiente	1 : 1	River Plate