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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Copa de la Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 9
Newells Old BoysHOME · -
1 : 02024.03.08 · 종료
TigreAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.1%
DRAW24.0%
AWAY17.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK HOME 43.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.1%
VALUE EDGE+58.1%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 70/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +20.4%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.8%p
REST AWAY -10.5%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Newells Old BoysAnalysis MetricsTigre
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.08
0.67 Average goals concededLower is better 1.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.1%
DRAW
24.0%
AWAY
17.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newells Old Boys
D · 2-2L · 0-1L · 2-0L · 0-4W · 1-3
Tigre
W · 1-0D · 2-2L · 2-0L · 0-1L · 2-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.10.11Newells Old Boys1 : 1Tigre
2025.04.08Tigre0 : 2Newells Old Boys
2024.09.22Newells Old Boys1 : 0Tigre
2024.03.08Newells Old Boys1 : 0Tigre