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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 15
Shonan BellmareHOME · -
2 : 12024.05.19 · 종료
Albirex NiigataAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.2%
DRAW24.2%
AWAY42.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100
AI PICK AWAY 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +42.5%
VALUE EDGE+42.5%
FAIR ODDS2.35
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 49/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -5.0%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -11.1%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -2.1%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Shonan BellmareAnalysis MetricsAlbirex Niigata
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
0.92 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.42
1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.33
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage13.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.2%
DRAW
24.2%
AWAY
42.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shonan Bellmare
L · 2-1D · 0-0W · 2-1L · 3-1D · 3-3
Albirex Niigata
W · 3-1L · 2-4L · 3-2D · 1-1L · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.11Shonan Bellmare1 : 1Albirex Niigata
2025.11.08Shonan Bellmare5 : 2Albirex Niigata
2025.05.25Albirex Niigata2 : 1Shonan Bellmare
2024.09.14Albirex Niigata3 : 1Shonan Bellmare
2024.05.19Shonan Bellmare2 : 1Albirex Niigata