Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 14

Machida ZelviaHOME · -

2 : 12024.05.15 · 종료

Cerezo OsakaAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.1%

DRAW33.1%

AWAY25.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100

AI PICK HOME 36.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +41.1%

VALUE EDGE+41.1%

FAIR ODDS2.43

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 53/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +15.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.6%p

REST EVEN +0.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Machida ZelviaAnalysis MetricsCerezo Osaka

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

1.42 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.75

0.50 Average goals concededLower is better 2.00

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage13.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample4.5 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation3.4 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

41.1%

DRAW

33.1%

AWAY

25.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Machida Zelvia

D · 0-0W · 0-3W · 2-0L · 2-0W · 1-2

Cerezo Osaka

L · 1-4L · 1-0D · 1-1D · 2-2L · 2-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.08.16	Machida Zelvia	3 : 0	Cerezo Osaka
2025.04.29	Cerezo Osaka	1 : 2	Machida Zelvia
2024.08.07	Cerezo Osaka	0 : 0	Machida Zelvia
2024.05.15	Machida Zelvia	2 : 1	Cerezo Osaka