Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 14
Nagoya GrampusHOME · -
3 : 12024.05.15 · 종료
FC TokyoAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME7.5%
DRAW15.4%
AWAY77.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
65/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+77.1%
VALUE EDGE+77.1%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
91/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-32.8%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-27.8%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
AWAY
-15.3%p
REST
EVEN
+0.2%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Nagoya GrampusAnalysis MetricsFC Tokyo
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.33
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.50
1.75
Average goals concededLower is better
0.08
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage13.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagoya Grampus
L · 0-1W · 2-3L · 0-2L · 2-1W · 2-1
FC Tokyo
D · 3-3W · 1-2W · 2-1W · 1-3L · 1-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.19 | FC Tokyo | 1 : 0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2026.07.21 | FC Tokyo | 2 : 1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2025.08.31 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 : 1 | FC Tokyo |
| 2025.02.26 | FC Tokyo | 3 : 1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2024.09.14 | FC Tokyo | 4 : 1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2024.05.15 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 : 1 | FC Tokyo |