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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 14
Kashiwa ReysolHOME · -
2 : 12024.05.15 · 종료
Shonan BellmareAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.3%
DRAW27.3%
AWAY32.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 65/100
AI PICK HOME 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +40.3%
VALUE EDGE+40.3%
FAIR ODDS2.48
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 48/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +8.8%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +4.8%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +1.0%p
REST EVEN -0.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Kashiwa ReysolAnalysis MetricsShonan Bellmare
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
2.83 Average goals scoredHigher is better 0.92
1.25 Average goals concededLower is better 1.17
87.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage13.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation3.4 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
40.3%
DRAW
27.3%
AWAY
32.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kashiwa Reysol
D · 3-3L · 1-2L · 2-0D · 1-1W · 1-0
Shonan Bellmare
D · 0-0W · 2-1L · 3-1D · 3-3L · 0-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.10Kashiwa Reysol2 : 0Shonan Bellmare
2025.04.20Shonan Bellmare0 : 1Kashiwa Reysol
2024.08.17Shonan Bellmare1 : 2Kashiwa Reysol
2024.05.15Kashiwa Reysol2 : 1Shonan Bellmare