Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 13
FC TokyoHOME · -
3 : 32024.05.11 · 종료
Kashiwa ReysolAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.0%
DRAW33.9%
AWAY26.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 36.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+40.0%
VALUE EDGE+40.0%
FAIR ODDS2.50
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
51/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+12.4%p
HOME_AWAY
EVEN
+2.2%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+4.3%p
REST
EVEN
+0.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
FC TokyoAnalysis MetricsKashiwa Reysol
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
2.50
Average goals scoredHigher is better
2.83
0.08
Average goals concededLower is better
1.25
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FC Tokyo
W · 1-2W · 2-1W · 1-3L · 1-2D · 2-2
Kashiwa Reysol
L · 1-2L · 2-0D · 1-1W · 1-0D · 1-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.21 | FC Tokyo | 0 : 0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026.04.29 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 : 3 | FC Tokyo |
| 2026.02.28 | FC Tokyo | 0 : 2 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2025.07.05 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 : 0 | FC Tokyo |
| 2025.04.11 | FC Tokyo | 1 : 1 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2024.07.06 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 : 2 | FC Tokyo |
| 2024.05.11 | FC Tokyo | 3 : 3 | Kashiwa Reysol |