Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 12

Shonan BellmareHOME · -
2 : 12024.05.06 · 종료
Sagan TosuAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.9%
DRAW13.5%
AWAY10.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.9%
VALUE EDGE+75.9%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
87/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
EVEN
-0.7%p
HOME_AWAY
EVEN
+1.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+11.6%p
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Shonan BellmareAnalysis MetricsSagan Tosu
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
0.92
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.00
1.17
Average goals concededLower is better
1.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
62/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shonan Bellmare
L · 3-1D · 3-3L · 0-1D · 2-2L · 2-0
Sagan Tosu
L · 0-2D · 1-1W · 4-2L · 2-1L · 3-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.03 | Shonan Bellmare | 0 : 1 | Sagan Tosu |
| 2026.06.06 | Sagan Tosu | 1 : 0 | Shonan Bellmare |
| 2024.08.31 | Sagan Tosu | 1 : 2 | Shonan Bellmare |
| 2024.05.06 | Shonan Bellmare | 2 : 1 | Sagan Tosu |