Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 12
Sanfrecce HiroshimaHOME · -
2 : 32024.05.06 · 종료
Nagoya GrampusAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.3%
DRAW26.5%
AWAY14.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 44.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
73/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+10.6%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+13.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+12.1%p
REST
EVEN
+1.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAnalysis MetricsNagoya Grampus
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.42
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.33
0.75
Average goals concededLower is better
1.75
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation14.1 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 2-0
Nagoya Grampus
L · 0-2L · 2-1W · 2-1W · 0-1D · 0-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.02 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 : 0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2026.05.23 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 : 2 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2026.03.18 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 : 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2025.06.28 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 : 2 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2025.04.20 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 : 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2024.08.17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 : 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2024.05.06 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 : 3 | Nagoya Grampus |