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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 12
Kyoto SangaHOME · -
0 : 32024.05.06 · 종료
Machida ZelviaAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME2.2%
DRAW8.2%
AWAY89.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK AWAY 63.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +89.6%
VALUE EDGE+89.6%
FAIR ODDS1.12
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -74.6%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -80.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -23.6%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Kyoto SangaAnalysis MetricsMachida Zelvia
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
1.42 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.42
0.92 Average goals concededLower is better 0.50
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
2.2%
DRAW
8.2%
AWAY
89.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kyoto Sanga
L · 2-1W · 0-1L · 0-1L · 1-0L · 0-3
Machida Zelvia
W · 2-0L · 2-0W · 1-2L · 1-2W · 0-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.10Kyoto Sanga0 : 1Machida Zelvia
2026.10.03Machida Zelvia0 : 0Kyoto Sanga
2025.09.23Kyoto Sanga1 : 1Machida Zelvia
2025.05.07Machida Zelvia1 : 2Kyoto Sanga
2024.11.30Machida Zelvia1 : 0Kyoto Sanga
2024.05.06Kyoto Sanga0 : 3Machida Zelvia