Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 9
Nagoya GrampusHOME · -
2 : 12024.04.21 · 종료
Cerezo OsakaAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME3.6%
DRAW20.7%
AWAY75.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
63/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.7%
VALUE EDGE+75.7%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
91/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-32.4%p
HOME_AWAY
AWAY
-33.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
AWAY
-20.2%p
REST
EVEN
+0.2%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Nagoya GrampusAnalysis MetricsCerezo Osaka
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
1.33
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.75
1.75
Average goals concededLower is better
2.00
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
63/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagoya Grampus
W · 0-1D · 0-0W · 1-2W · 2-1W · 0-2
Cerezo Osaka
W · 1-0W · 0-1D · 1-1W · 2-0W · 0-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.21 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 : 1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2026.05.17 | Cerezo Osaka | 6 : 1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2026.04.04 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 : 0 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2025.10.04 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 : 1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2025.03.08 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 : 1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2024.06.30 | Cerezo Osaka | 2 : 1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2024.04.21 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 : 1 | Cerezo Osaka |