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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 9
Sagan TosuHOME · -
4 : 22024.04.20 · 종료
KashimaAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.4%
DRAW33.4%
AWAY22.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 63/100
AI PICK HOME 36.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +44.4%
VALUE EDGE+44.4%
FAIR ODDS2.25
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 56/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +12.8%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.5%p
REST AWAY -5.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Sagan TosuAnalysis MetricsKashima
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
1.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.42
1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.08
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

63/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation4.7 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.4%
DRAW
33.4%
AWAY
22.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sagan Tosu
L · 2-1L · 3-0D · 0-0L · 3-1L · 0-2
Kashima
W · 1-0L · 2-0L · 1-0W · 1-0W · 2-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.08.07Kashima3 : 0Sagan Tosu
2024.04.20Sagan Tosu4 : 2Kashima