Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 1

Sagan TosuHOME · -

1 : 22024.02.24 · 종료

Albirex NiigataAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.6%

DRAW23.9%

AWAY61.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100

AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +61.5%

VALUE EDGE+61.5%

FAIR ODDS1.63

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 46/100 · HIGH RISK

REST EVEN +0.0%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Sagan TosuAnalysis MetricsAlbirex Niigata

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

1.00 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.42

1.17 Average goals concededLower is better 1.33

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

20/100 LOW

Data coverage4.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form0.0 / 10

Historical sample0.0 / 10

Model agreement6.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

14.6%

DRAW

23.9%

AWAY

61.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Sagan Tosu

Collecting Data

Albirex Niigata

Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.21	Albirex Niigata	2 : 1	Sagan Tosu
2024.07.06	Albirex Niigata	3 : 4	Sagan Tosu
2024.02.24	Sagan Tosu	1 : 2	Albirex Niigata