Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 20
Minnesota United FCHOME · -
2 : 12024.05.19 · 종료
Portland TimbersAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.1%
DRAW19.8%
AWAY20.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
65/100
AI PICK
HOME 45.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
70/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+30.4%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+26.2%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-0.1%p
REST
EVEN
+0.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Minnesota United FCAnalysis MetricsPortland Timbers
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
2.17
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.92
2.17
Average goals concededLower is better
1.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage13.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Minnesota United FC
D · 2-2W · 1-2W · 2-1W · 0-3L · 1-2
Portland Timbers
W · 4-2L · 1-2L · 2-0L · 3-2D · 2-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.06 | Portland Timbers | 5 : 4 | Minnesota United FC |
| 2026.04.19 | Minnesota United FC | 2 : 0 | Portland Timbers |
| 2025.08.31 | Minnesota United FC | 1 : 1 | Portland Timbers |
| 2025.07.20 | Portland Timbers | 1 : 1 | Minnesota United FC |
| 2024.06.30 | Portland Timbers | 3 : 2 | Minnesota United FC |
| 2024.05.19 | Minnesota United FC | 2 : 1 | Portland Timbers |