Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 20

FC CincinnatiHOME · -

3 : 12024.05.19 · 종료

St. Louis CityAWAY · -

HOME · Current Standing -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.1%

DRAW28.7%

AWAY16.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100

AI PICK HOME 44.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.1%

VALUE EDGE+55.1%

FAIR ODDS1.81

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 68/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +39.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +34.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -2.5%p

REST EVEN +0.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

FC CincinnatiAnalysis MetricsSt. Louis City

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

1.50 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.92

2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 1.42

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage12.8 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample4.5 / 10

Model agreement6.9 / 15

Prediction separation11.3 / 15

Data freshness5.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.1%

DRAW

28.7%

AWAY

16.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

FC Cincinnati

W · 1-0W · 1-2W · 0-1W · 2-1W · 1-2

St. Louis City

L · 0-2W · 3-1D · 0-0D · 3-3W · 1-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.19	FC Cincinnati	3 : 1	St. Louis City