Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 19
Portland TimbersHOME · -
4 : 22024.05.16 · 종료
San Jose EarthquakesAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.9%
DRAW17.1%
AWAY37.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 38.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+45.9%
VALUE EDGE+45.9%
FAIR ODDS2.18
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
48/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
EVEN
+2.2%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+14.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
AWAY
-3.9%p
REST
AWAY
-4.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Portland TimbersAnalysis MetricsSan Jose Earthquakes
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.92
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.50
1.83
Average goals concededLower is better
1.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.8 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Portland Timbers
L · 1-2L · 2-0L · 3-2D · 2-2D · 2-2
San Jose Earthquakes
W · 2-3W · 3-1D · 1-1L · 4-3L · 0-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.27 | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 : 1 | Portland Timbers |
| 2026.05.24 | Portland Timbers | 1 : 3 | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2026.02.12 | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 : 2 | Portland Timbers |
| 2025.06.14 | Portland Timbers | 1 : 1 | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2025.05.04 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 : 1 | Portland Timbers |
| 2024.06.20 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 | Portland Timbers |
| 2024.05.16 | Portland Timbers | 4 : 2 | San Jose Earthquakes |