Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 18
DC UnitedHOME · -
1 : 42024.05.16 · 종료
New York Red BullsAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.7%
DRAW19.6%
AWAY24.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
65/100
AI PICK
HOME 44.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
WATCH
64/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+14.1%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+12.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
+0.9%p
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
DC UnitedAnalysis MetricsNew York Red Bulls
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
0.92
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.42
2.08
Average goals concededLower is better
1.33
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage13.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
DC United
W · 2-3D · 2-2W · 2-1L · 2-0L · 2-3
New York Red Bulls
W · 4-2L · 6-2D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 0-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.15 | DC United | 2 : 1 | New York Red Bulls |
| 2026.04.23 | New York Red Bulls | 4 : 4 | DC United |
| 2025.05.25 | DC United | 0 : 2 | New York Red Bulls |
| 2025.04.20 | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 2 | DC United |
| 2024.06.30 | New York Red Bulls | 2 : 2 | DC United |
| 2024.05.16 | DC United | 1 : 4 | New York Red Bulls |