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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 18
CF MontrealHOME · -
1 : 32024.05.16 · 종료
Columbus CrewAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.5%
DRAW25.5%
AWAY29.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW27 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 27/100
AI PICK HOME 38.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +45.5%
VALUE EDGE+45.5%
FAIR ODDS2.20
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 29/100 · HIGH RISK
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.6%p
REST EVEN +0.1%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
CF MontrealAnalysis MetricsColumbus Crew
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
0.75 Average goals scoredHigher is better 2.08
1.75 Average goals concededLower is better 1.08
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

27/100 LOW
Data coverage5.4 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form0.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
45.5%
DRAW
25.5%
AWAY
29.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
CF Montreal
L · 2-3L · 4-1D · 0-0D · 2-2W · 2-1
Columbus Crew
L · 1-2D · 0-0D · 2-2D · 0-0D · 1-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.20CF Montreal0 : 2Columbus Crew
2026.08.20Columbus Crew1 : 2CF Montreal
2025.05.15CF Montreal1 : 1Columbus Crew
2025.04.06Columbus Crew2 : 1CF Montreal
2024.05.16CF Montreal1 : 3Columbus Crew
2024.04.28Columbus Crew0 : 0CF Montreal