Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 18
Philadelphia UnionHOME · -
1 : 22024.05.16 · 종료
New York City FCAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.9%
DRAW25.4%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 36.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+41.9%
VALUE EDGE+41.9%
FAIR ODDS2.38
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
PASS
48/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
AWAY
-10.5%p
HOME_AWAY
EVEN
+0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
EVEN
-0.9%p
REST
EVEN
+0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Philadelphia UnionAnalysis MetricsNew York City FC
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.67
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.08
1.08
Average goals concededLower is better
1.17
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philadelphia Union
L · 2-3D · 2-2L · 2-3L · 1-2D · 2-2
New York City FC
W · 2-3L · 0-2W · 2-1W · 2-0W · 2-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.17 | New York City FC | 2 : 3 | Philadelphia Union |
| 2026.03.02 | Philadelphia Union | 1 : 2 | New York City FC |
| 2025.11.24 | Philadelphia Union | 0 : 1 | New York City FC |
| 2025.10.05 | Philadelphia Union | 1 : 0 | New York City FC |
| 2025.04.13 | New York City FC | 1 : 0 | Philadelphia Union |
| 2024.09.19 | New York City FC | 1 : 5 | Philadelphia Union |
| 2024.05.16 | Philadelphia Union | 1 : 2 | New York City FC |