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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 17
New York Red BullsHOME · -
4 : 22024.05.12 · 종료
New England RevolutionAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME89.3%
DRAW9.2%
AWAY1.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK HOME 63.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +89.3%
VALUE EDGE+89.3%
FAIR ODDS1.12
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +37.0%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +46.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +19.3%p
REST EVEN +0.2%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
New York Red BullsAnalysis MetricsNew England Revolution
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
1.42 Average goals scoredHigher is better 1.58
1.33 Average goals concededLower is better 1.67
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

62/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
89.3%
DRAW
9.2%
AWAY
1.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
New York Red Bulls
L · 6-2D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 0-0W · 1-2
New England Revolution
W · 0-1L · 1-4L · 1-0L · 2-0W · 1-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.29New England Revolution3 : 2New York Red Bulls
2026.03.01New York Red Bulls1 : 0New England Revolution
2025.07.17New York Red Bulls5 : 3New England Revolution
2025.03.30New England Revolution2 : 1New York Red Bulls
2024.06.09New England Revolution1 : 0New York Red Bulls
2024.05.12New York Red Bulls4 : 2New England Revolution