Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Major League Soccer
USA · Regular Season - 17
Toronto FCHOME · -
2 : 32024.05.12 · 종료
New York City FCAWAY · -
HOME · Current Standing
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
STANDING
AWAY · Current Standing
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.4%
DRAW22.6%
AWAY3.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goals for/against · Draw tendency · Home/Away · Recent form · H2H
DATA QUALITY
64/100
AI PICK
HOME 51.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7
AI Win Probability Basis
RECOMMENDATION
LEAN
90/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM
HOME
+70.3%p
HOME_AWAY
HOME
+71.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE
HOME
+13.9%p
REST
HOME
+4.3%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Toronto FCAnalysis MetricsNew York City FC
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
1.67
Average goals scoredHigher is better
1.08
2.42
Average goals concededLower is better
1.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample4.5 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness5.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence1.0 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toronto FC
W · 3-1W · 1-2W · 1-0L · 3-2L · 4-0
New York City FC
L · 0-2W · 2-1W · 2-0W · 2-0D · 1-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.30 | Toronto FC | 1 : 1 | New York City FC |
| 2026.08.01 | New York City FC | 1 : 1 | Toronto FC |
| 2025.07.04 | New York City FC | 3 : 1 | Toronto FC |
| 2025.04.27 | Toronto FC | 0 : 1 | New York City FC |
| 2024.05.12 | Toronto FC | 2 : 3 | New York City FC |
| 2024.03.17 | New York City FC | 2 : 1 | Toronto FC |